Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1116.826903 1277.728514 1460.662849 1685.514106 1956.455707 2274.966383 2681.530285
2025-03-09 882.226680 1088.760897 1348.091818 1703.602386 2187.911179 2839.360995 3808.356385
2025-03-16 749.261002 968.502893 1261.362343 1692.233817 2329.893143 3273.384028 4847.008629
2025-03-23 671.023047 900.304234 1222.427178 1725.274544 2524.699215 3813.059509 6205.748690
2025-03-30 587.837047 810.499333 1135.223645 1665.352240 2556.278042 4093.649829 7216.194641
2025-04-06 523.423577 738.372646 1061.900736 1610.823671 2579.442962 4357.045150 8282.273754
2025-04-13 468.886765 674.163684 991.433581 1547.709809 2571.743796 4556.674663 9289.069735
2025-04-20 446.969964 657.248313 992.641654 1604.440216 2790.774078 5254.103378 11744.835526
2025-04-27 421.070221 630.915420 974.624168 1623.210839 2939.263710 5845.659771 14251.414878
2025-05-04 398.891171 608.196096 959.625228 1644.403362 3095.965632 6502.580167 17341.730537
2025-05-11 378.094654 585.658352 942.123459 1657.580913 3237.636420 7168.715297 20925.989120
2025-05-18 366.669125 577.879471 949.763428 1721.285381 3506.491822 8260.815169 26941.818098
2025-05-25 354.179659 567.845119 953.515485 1780.844472 3789.287734 9537.387826 35222.529380
2025-06-01 337.896666 549.720457 940.311169 1802.918990 3987.883969 10664.221145 44399.402529
2025-06-08 319.417522 525.935789 913.510000 1790.484555 4093.274266 11540.983189 53624.534183
2025-06-15 307.730934 513.687309 908.097654 1826.016408 4340.704876 13050.866575 69765.977748
2025-06-22 287.241934 483.274895 863.082933 1761.616586 4285.517884 13396.218052 78268.055672
2025-06-29 269.146598 456.196951 822.610966 1703.055008 4236.173089 13755.722342 87941.983409
2025-07-06 251.739685 429.341661 780.469312 1635.321898 4145.467503 13911.958843 96403.294323
2025-07-13 246.950782 426.693685 789.041369 1696.201941 4479.674999 16170.790740 135205.576538
2025-07-20 239.031685 417.269685 782.166708 1716.354966 4687.005729 17987.413119 178031.476559
2025-07-27 231.837131 408.782023 776.546799 1739.113794 4911.631654 20080.193743 239416.655563
2025-08-03 224.467797 399.432991 768.170826 1753.268213 5111.234832 22215.885193 321341.809136